Replaying the Tape of Life: A Challenge to the Modern Synthesis
The Modern Synthesis, a cornerstone of 20th-century biology, provides the framework for understanding evolution as a process driven by four primary forces: mutation, gene flow, genetic drift, and natural selection. Its core tenet is that all these processes, with the exception of selection, are fundamentally random. Random mutation provides the raw material for evolution, while natural selection acts on this variation in a non-random way. The synthesis views evolution as a gradual, cumulative process, where macroevolution (large-scale change) is simply the result of microevolution (small-scale change) over vast stretches of time. This gene-centric view has had its success in explaining phenomena from antibiotic resistance to the fossil record. A central philosophical implication of the Modern Synthesis, as popularized by paleontologist Stephen Jay Gould, is the concept of historical contingency. Gould's famous "tape of life" thought experiment posits that if ...